UDC 656.13.05
© D. V. Kapski, 2012
CONSIDERATION OF "HUMAN FACTOR" WITHIN THE POTENTIAL DANGER DETERMINATION MODEL IN PROGNOSTICATION OF ROAD ACCIDENT RATE BY THE "CONFLICT ZONES" METHOD
In road traffic, the decisive role is played by the "human factor". It is important to take it into consideration in determining the potential danger. In the identification of the possible danger through the "conflict zones" approach, the human factor is considered due to features in these zones formation, by the sensitivity threshold of potential danger, and also by using parameters of pedestrian and transport flows.
Keywords: road accident rate, potential danger, human factor, prediction of road accidents.
References:
-
Kapskiy, D.V. Prognozirovanie avariynosti v dorozhnom dvizhenii : monografiya / D.V. Kapskiy. - Minsk : BNTU, 2008. - 243 s. + vkl.
-
Kapskiy, D.V. Razrabotka metodiki prognozirovaniya avariynosti v dorozhnom dvizhenii / D.V. Kapskiy // Vestn. BNTU. - 2004. - № 5. - S. 41-43.
-
Rappoport, H.A. Die Ausbildung plangeicher Knotenpunkte im Landstrassennetz / H.A. Rappoport. - Strassen und Tiefbau, 1955. - № 8. - S. 499-510.
-
Klebel`sberg, D. Transportnaya psikhologiya / D. Klebel`sberg ; per. s nem. M. : Transport, 1989. - 367 s.
-
Kapskiy, D.V. Teoreticheskie osnovy prognozirovaniya poputnykh stolknoveniy na perekrestkakh po metodu zamedleniy / D.V. Kapskiy, YU.A. Vrubel`, D.V. Mozalevskiy // Bezpeka dorozhn`ogo rukhu Ukra?ni. - 2006. - № 3-4 (23). - S. 53-59.
-
Kukharenok, G.M. Povyshenie bezopasnosti dorozhnogo dvizheniya na osnove otsenki avariynosti na konfliktnykh ob"ektakh / D.V. Kapskiy, G.M. Kukharenok // Vestn. Belorussko-Rossiyskogo un-ta. Ser. "Transport, mashinostroenie, metallurgiya, elektrotekhnika". - 2006. - № 3 (12). - S. 33-38.
- Kot, E.N. Otsenka avariynosti v konflikte "povorotnyy transport-peshekhod" na reguliruemykh perekrestkakh / E.N. Kot, D.V. Kapskiy // Vestn. BNTU. - 2005. - № 4. - S. 39-41.
Download article (238.1 Kb)