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UDC 331.079

© Panejakh E. L., 2006

The Problem of Electoral Behaviour in the Election Period

The article analyses the methods of forecasting electoral beharior in the elections period. The Russian sociological centers seem to misreport due the electoral preferences while exitpooling

References:

  1. Clausen, Aage. 1968. Response Validity: Vote report. The Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 41: 56-6.
  2. Traugott, Michael W., John P. Katosh. 1979. Response Validity in Surveys of Voting Behavior. The Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 43, No 3 (Autumn 1979), 359-377
  3. Katosh, John P, Michael W. Traugott. 1981. The Consequences of Validated and Self-Reported Voting Measures. The Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 45, No 4 (Winter 1981), 519-535
  4. Presser, Stanley, Michael Traugott. 1992. Little White Lies and Social Science Models: Correlated Response Errors in a Panel Study of Voting. The Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 56, No 1 (Spring, 1992), 77-86
  5. Baker, Jean H.  1983.  Affairs of party:   the political culture of Northern Democrats in the mid-nineteenth century /   Ithaca : Cornell University Press
  6. Green, Bradley Palmquist, and Eric Schickler. 2000. Partisan Hearts and Minds: Political Parties and the Social Identities of Voters. Donald New Haven, CT: Yale University Press
  7. Eldersveld, Samuel J., Hanes Walton, Jr. 2000. Political Parties in American Society, 2nd Edition. Boston, New York: Bedford/St. Martins
  8. Oslon, Alexandre. 2003. Elections 2003. Electoral Surveys and Prognoses: Working Out the Errors.
  9. Foundation for Public Opinion (FOM) database http://bd.fom.ru

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